2012 In The First Half Of The Year, Cocoon Silk Prices Remained Relatively Stable.

2011

The ups and downs of the cocoon and silk industry have been vigilant against the risk of cocoon silk price fluctuation on enterprises.

Although also experienced ups and downs, but in the first half of 2012, cocoon silk prices remained relatively stable, so that the industry worried about "cocoon silk hanging upside down" phenomenon did not appear.

In the case of export disruption, the pulling force of the domestic market has become a key factor affecting cocoon silk market.

Twice rising cocoon silk continued to hang

In 2011, the price of cocoon silk had gone up and down: in the first half of the year, the price of raw silk was up to 400 thousand yuan / ton. In the second half of the year, the big landslide dropped to 300 thousand yuan / ton. In September, it began to rise slowly from 270 thousand yuan / ton price. After that, the price of raw silk was more than 300 thousand yuan / ton ~31 yuan / ton.

Before the Spring Festival of 2012, the cocoon silk price continued a slight oscillation pattern. Under the uncertain circumstances, the market turnover was light.

The cocoon silk market is mainly affected by spring cocoon production. As the dry cocoon of agricultural products, the market began to run out after the Spring Festival.

This has stimulated the cocoon silk market to a certain extent, resulting in a rise in the price of cocoon silk.

In late February, with the negative impact of European debt crisis and other peripheral problems weakened, the cocoon silk market rebounded as a result of the decline in reserve requirements.

At the beginning of March, cocoon silk was promoted by the news of the delayed possibility of silkworm breeding.

The spot price of 3A-4A grade silk has risen to more than 310 thousand yuan / ton, and the demand has been restored, providing support for the continued strength of the market.

In mid March, due to the decrease in the circulation of raw silk market and the impact of a large number of funds, the market rose sharply.

With the lack of support for Lido, in March 19th, the cocoon wire surface stopped rising and fell, and the situation appeared to be completely green.

Thereafter, the oscillation pattern continued.

In April, the silk industry was out of season. Some factories had no rice pots or close to the pot. The demand for raw materials for cocoons was not large.

As a result, the price of dry cocoons should be supported enough to push up the market.

But blocked by the downturn in the downstream market, the market is hard to break through.

In addition, if there is a lesson from this experience, if this stage is to rise, it is bound to pull up the purchase price of the upcoming spring cocoon and raise the operating cost.

In this critical period, the parties are more cautious.

Affected by the industry's cautious and steady mentality, cocoon silk market was relatively stable in April, and the main contract SS12093 received a minimum charge of 321500 yuan / ton, with a maximum charge of 329500 yuan / ton.

However, the spot circulation slowed down at the end of the month, and the price dropped somewhat.

The international market is sluggish and terminal consumption is still the main factor restricting cocoon silk market.

There was a unilateral downward trend of cocoon silk in May.

At the beginning of May, it continued the downward trend at the end of April. The main contract SS12093 disk closed at 325000 yuan / ton, and the lowest level was 304400 yuan / ton at the end of May.

In a month, the SS12093 contract fell 20600 yuan, or 6.3%.

Export stagnation, spot difficult to go, the disk fell continuously, the industry has formed a greater pressure.

In June, despite the double click of the European debt crisis and the weak domestic economy, the decline of agricultural products was convergent and the trend was stable.

Cocoon silk continued to decline after the rebound also stabilized market, cocoon silk market in a favorable direction.

With a large number of cocoons and raw silk into the market, it has been digested.

The price of raw silk is hard to go up, the price of silkworm cocoon can not fall down, cocoon silk market enters the pattern of the rubber crosses.

Entering the June, the consumption of domestic silk increased, and the shipment of elastic satin and George yarn increased. The price of silk was stable and the market was promising.

Cocoon silk market increased slightly in the early July.

The spot market was slightly stronger, and the overall price increased. The B spot spot price broke through 320 thousand yuan / ton, and the market began to pick up.

Although the price trend before and after is not obvious, the increase is not large, but it has undoubtedly provided price support for the cocoon silk market which has been weakening.

In the middle of July, cocoon silk remained strong, and the price of cocoon silk rose to a new level after continuous rise.

The highest contract price of raw silk 13033 contract exceeded 340 thousand yuan / ton, a record high in one year.

The average spot price of domestic grade 3A commodity inspection silk is about 321000 yuan / ton, and the price rises slightly. The average price at the end of the month is around 324000 yuan / ton, and the overall price increase is 4000 yuan / ton.

However, under the constraints of downstream demand, the rising market has encountered considerable resistance.

Analysts believe that the current annual cocoon raw materials storage has been more than half, in the past year's new high point, the gap between the two sides increased, the force has also been balanced, the next market entry into the finishing stage is more likely.

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Reasonable price setting the market to stabilize the keynote

National

The plan is a behavior regulating silkworm production, and it is also a means to maintain the stability of the industry.

The Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Agriculture issued the guiding plan for the production of mulberry silkworm cocoon mulberry silk in 2012 in April.

In 2012, the guiding plan of silkworm cocoon production in the whole country was the same as that in 2011: 16 million 600 thousand species of silkworm breeding, 647 thousand tons of silkworm cocoons and 103 thousand tons of mulberry silk.

In April 26th, "the National Conference on Cocoon harvesting and drying in 2012" was held. Relevant departments of the Ministry of Commerce demanded that cocoon production should be arranged reasonably in all localities so as to maintain healthy and stable development of the industry. All localities should strengthen communication and cohesion, determine reasonable purchasing prices, and stabilize the order of cocoon purchasing.

Since then, Guangxi, Chongqing and other places have issued the guidance price of cocoon purchase in 2012, striving for the normal operation of cocoon and silk industry in 2012 and stable operation of cocoon silk market.

During the May 1st period, the first spring cocoons of cocoon production areas in southern Guangxi and Northern Guangxi were listed on the market in Guangxi.

The hot topic of this year's "spring cocoon listing time" was delayed last year.

Nanning Yongning District, Binyang county and other places "May Day" officially opened the first spring cocoon purchase price this year, the purchase price of 36 yuan / kg, followed the guidance of "fresh cocoon purchase guidance price".

When the raw silk market is running at around 320 thousand ~33 yuan / ton, the purchase price of fresh cocoons will be around 36 yuan / kg. The processing enterprises have certain profit margins. The interests of the silkworm farmers can basically be guaranteed. At the same time, there will not be too much pressure on the terminal consumer market, so the purchase price of the new cocoons of 36 yuan / kg is generally recognized.

The price is relatively reasonable, and the industry is in a state of price hang up. The purchase price of the first batch of spring cocoons laid the keynote for this year's cocoon silk market stability.

In May, we entered the centralized listing period of cocoon raw materials, and the first and second batch of spring cocoons were listed on the market in the middle and the southern part of Guangxi in the middle and May.

Guangxi's spring cocoons began to decline from the first batch of cocoons to the second batch of acquisitions.

In May 15th, the purchase price of Yizhou spring cocoon was 32~35 yuan / kg.

The main reason is that the quality of cocoons is affected by rainfall and the price is reduced accordingly.

With the second batch of spring cocoons officially listed, cocoon quality improved and prices rebounded.

In May 22nd, the second batch of spring cocoons sold in Yizhou were priced at 36 yuan / kg.

In 2012, the price of Zhejiang spring cocoon purchase was 30 yuan / kg.

The purchase price of Tongxiang spring cocoon in May 27th was 30~32 yuan / kg.

As the origin of high quality silk raw materials in China, the purchase price of Zhejiang spring cocoon is lower than that of other silkworm areas, and the actual purchase price is lower than that of Guangxi spring cocoon purchase price 4~6 yuan / kg.

At the beginning of the nationwide listing of spring cocoons, Zhejiang's spring cocoon purchase policy and situation caused the industry to panic and aggravated the cocoon silk market.

The domestic silk industry is worried that the economic downturn in Europe and the United States is restricting exports. Domestic financing is more difficult, which has affected the enthusiasm of manufacturers to buy cocoon silk.

The mass listing of new cocoons will impact the market and trigger the downward trend of the price of cocoon silk trading.

Subsequently, the downward trend of cocoon silk market continued to make the cocoon purchasing unit take on greater risks. The market continued to be overcast and the industry was also nervous.

In June, the purchasing and drying of spring cocoons continued.

Guangxi's third batch of spring cocoons went on the market, and the overall quality declined. The purchase price of Yizhou was about 32 yuan / kg.

In other provinces, Anhui and Shandong still maintain relatively high purchasing prices. There are two main reasons: first, the quality of local cocoons is better; two, the output of cocoons is declining, and enterprises hope to protect the enthusiasm of sericultural farmers through higher purchasing prices.

In July, the summer cocoon purchase began in all parts of the country. Some of the mulberry gardens in Yizhou, Guangxi began to cut down in summer.

Data show that: in the first half of 2012, the output of China's silk reached 58 thousand and 500 tons, an increase of 11.94% over the same period last year.

In June, China produced 11 thousand tons of silk, an increase of 10.04% over the same period last year.

Judging from the output of various provinces and cities, in the first half of 2012, the output of Sichuan's silk reached 13 thousand and 700 tons, down 3.30% from the same period last year, accounting for 23.37% of the total output of the country.

Jiangsu, the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Zhejiang provinces accounted for 20.38%, 19.17% and 11.17% of the total output.

The importance of export blocked domestic demand

Related silk enterprises in an interview said that in adverse external environment, cocoon silk can continue to hang smoothly this year, smooth operation, it is not easy.

However, the export situation of silk products is grim this year, and the overall operation environment of the industry is still in the severe winter, and the latter market is still not optimistic.

According to customs statistics, the export of silk products was 1 billion 316 million US dollars in 1~5 months, down 8.95% compared with the same period last year.

Silk products exported 6804 tons, down 6.37% compared with the same period last year, and the export amount was 258 million US dollars, down 17.31% compared with the same period last year.

Of which, the export volume of factory silk was 2357.5 tons, an increase of 5.29% over the same period, the amount of 109 million 649 thousand and 400 dollars, down 8.27% from the same period last year. The export volume of silk silk fabrics was 79 million 575 thousand meters, down 11.54% from the same period last year, the amount of 413 million US dollars, down 3.48% from the same period last year.

Silk garments and products exported 645 million US dollars, down 8.58% compared to the same period last year.

At present, the shrinking of China's exports is mainly due to the shrinking demand in Europe and the United States.

The European and American market is the main consumer market of China's silk products, which accounts for the largest consumption of silk products in China.

The shrinking demand in Europe and the United States is undoubtedly a severe test for China's silk industry.

Exports are blocked, and enterprises can only find a breakthrough from domestic sales.

The expansion of the domestic market is of great significance to make up for the shortage of export orders, and the domestic market will also become the main market of China's silk products.

This summer, the real silk consumption in the domestic market is booming. The sales of silk have been increased year by year, and the consumption of silk has increased greatly, which partly offset the negative impact of the decrease in export.

Due to the return to natural trend and the improvement of consumption level, silk products are still popular despite their high price.

But the people said that at present

It is still in the initial stage of development, and the products of domestic products are relatively single. The main products are relatively low grade silk products, and the added value is relatively low, and the effective pulling force of cocoon silk market is still insufficient.

It is a commonplace topic to strengthen the development of domestic market for silk products, but it may become an important factor to decide the future trend of the market.